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Dołączył: 07 Lip 2025 Posty: 2
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Wysłany: Pon Lip 07, 2025 9:11 am Temat postu: Nerdy Birds: Hot beginning for the defense, Bijan Robinson |
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Relevant Hyperlinks Falcons cornerback Jeff Okudah reviews Lions trade as he gets ready for go back to Detroit Falcons injury report: Updating the status of Jeff Okudah, Troy Andersen, Cordarrelle Patterson as Lions practice week proceeds That will win in Week 2, Falcons or Packers? Expert Picks Atlanta is enabling the third-fewest yards per play 4. 2) and the second-fewest net lawns per pass attempt 4. 2 ). Just Dallas has enabled fewer yards per effort 3. 8 ), which stat includes sack yardage or "lawns lost trying to pass" if you intend to be that guy regarding it. The point we're driving at below is the Falcons have actually essentially matched the Cowboys in that regard, and Dallas has actually videotaped 7 even more sacks as well as 36 even more sack yards than the Falcons. All these numbers show a solid start for Atlanta's defense but two of our favored metrics, anticipated factors included and success price, tell the story in far better detail. Next Gen Duplicates EPA version determines the anticipated number of points the crime will certainly rack up in a provided drive taking situational factors like down, range and also field position into account, boosting or lowering based on the post-snap end result. The Falcons rank 13th in total protective EPA 9. 96 ). It is the initial time given that 2011 that the group has published favorable protective EPA through its very first 2 games. We such as success rate due to the fact that it takes right into account the completeness of a set of downs. A play is taken into consideration a defensive success based upon the lawns to pass down. If the offense obtains much less than 40% on first down, 50% on second down or fails to convert on 3rd or 4th down those would all be taken into consideration successes for the defense. Atlanta places 11th in defensive success price in 2023 61. 1 ). That rank leaps to seventh 62. 1) on passing plays. Just how about this? Atlanta ranks 3rd in success rate on passing plays in the fourth quarter 78. 3 ). Table inside Short Article Team 4Q Pass Success RateCleveland Browns 90. 0 Dallas Cowboys 79. 2 Atlanta Falcons 78. 3 It might only be a two-game sample size, but last period, the Falcons rated 29th in protective success price 54. 7) and 29th in defensive EPA -56. 94 ). Things are certainly trending in the best direction. According to Next Gen Statistics, the Falcons place sixth in challenger conclusion percent over assumption at -5. 6 percent, 9th in challenger pass EPA at -12. 5 and linked for seventh in EPA per hang back at -0. 19. One of the keys to Atlanta's outstanding start in pass protection has actually been the play of A Marvin Jones Jr. Jersey. J. Terrell. The 2021 second-team All-Pro has appreciated a revival early in the period. Next Gen Stats credit reports him with allowing six catches on 13 targets for 57 backyards. He's videotaped two passes defensed, including a touchdown-saving pass separation versus the Packers. When targeted, Terrell has enabled a meager 46% conclusion percent and a 58. 8 quarterback ranking. Amongst protective backs with at the very least 10 targets, his -15. 7 CPOE ranks 4th and his -3. 2 target EPA rates 10th. This marks a recover for Terrell, that placed 2nd in the NFL in target EPA permitted in 2021 -29. 4) behind Jordan Poyer -30. 6 ). Atlanta will need Terrell et cetera of the protection to remain strong versus the come on Detroit as the Lions rank 10th in offending success rate 44. 6 ), 4th in yards per play 5. 4 ), second in web lawns per pass attempt 8. 1) and also 10th in overall passing EPA. Quarterback Jared Goff has actually revealed a solid grasp of offending coordinator Ben Johnson's system as he ranks 7th in CPOE as well as eighth in EPA per decrease back Gavin Holmes Jersey. Sunday must be a strength-on-strength matchup between a pair of up-and-coming NFC the Rock Switching to the various other side of the ball, the Falcons offense entered into the 2023 season with an identity as well as a capability to run the ball and move the chains even when opponents knew what was coming. Via two video games, the offense has continued to lean right into that identification. Atlanta's offensive line has produced space for sphere carriers, despite encountering eight-man boxes on greater than a quarter of carries, causing an average rate at the line of scrimmage of 11. 43 miles per hour for Falcons running backs. Only Kansas City 11. 7 standards a higher typical rate at the line of skirmish getting in Week 3. That speed at the line of skirmish has led Atlanta's violation to produce the second-most carries of 10-plus backyards with Week 2 with 11. That area and speed has actually likewise caused backs going through potential tacklers. The Falcons rank second in the NFL with 263 backyards after call. Individually, amongst gamers with 20 lugs going into Week 3, Tyler Allgeier rates third in the NFL with 135 lawns after call, while Bijan Robinson rates 4th with 124. Going through contact, generally, results in success in short-yardage vital downs. Arthur Smith's decision to keep the crime on the area for a 4th-and-1 late in the video game last week talked to his self-confidence in the violation in short-yardage scenarios. Through 2 video games, the Falcons violation leads the NFL with a 7. 9 rush EPA on 3rd-and-short or 4th down. It's an old proverb in football that run video games travel. Atlanta will obtain their initial big roadway examination on Sunday in Detroit. This season, the Lions protection has actually published a 64. 1 defensive rush success rate, and that number balloons to 75% on third down-- the third lowest in the NFL. Do not be stunned if Sunday's video game boils down to which group can enforce their will certainly in short-yardage scenarios-- toughness on Hits Backyard Event Atlanta acquired 466 yards of complete offense against the Packers in Week 2. That is the greatest result by an NFC team this period and the third-highest total amount of any kind of group in the organization. Sunday's game additionally noted the second-highest yardage total under head train Arthur Smith, and also the 4th time the Falcons have topped 400 yards in a solitary game considering that 2021. The Falcons place 11th in the league in offending EPA per play. 03) and 2nd in EPA per developed rush 0. 13 ). The offense went as tough as our attires /6HmdwKkbUs Atlanta Falcons ) September 19, 2023 Aspect Backs Atlanta's violation has completed 341 rushing lawns through 2 video games, the fourth-highest total in the NFL this period. That has been pioneered by the duo of Allgeier as well as Robinson. They have incorporated for 11 runs of 10+ lawns, which is the second-highest total in the NFL. Among gamers with at the very least 20 carries, they place third Allgeier) as well as fourth Robinson) in yards after call per rush. Bijan Robinson 4. 0) as well as Tyler Allgeier 3. 3) rank third as well as 4th in the NFL in backyards after get in touch with per thrill via TruMedia). Austin Gayle ) September 18, 2023 Robinson ranks second in the league with 76 rushing lawns over expected this season and also he acquires more yardage than the Next Gen Duplicates model anticipates on 51. 7% of his rushes. On his viral 19-yard carry versus the Packers, Robinson gained 20 backyards over expectation, indicating he took what likely must have been a 1-yard loss and a have fun with a 3. 7% possibility of acquiring a first down into the clip listed below. Shifty: FOX NFL+ /YrUIqZJPyr Atlanta Falcons ) September 20, 2023 Overall, Robinson had seven runs that gained at the very least five lawns over Next Gen Duplicates assumption, each of those opted for at the very least seven backyards with five gaining 10 or even more yards. Geek King Arthur Smith made a gutsy contact fourth-and-1 from the Packers' 23-yard line with the Falcons routing 24-22 as well as simply 2:08 on the clock. According to Following Gen Stats, going all out raised the Falcons opportunities to win by 6. 5% over kicking an area goal in that circumstance. The outcome of the play took Atlanta's win chance from 60% before the breeze to 74. 7% after the whistle. According to the NGS Fourth Down Choice Guide, Smith made the ideal call on all 10 of Atlanta's fourth downs. _________________ Brissett20 |
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